Flat Future Predictions

Arthur C. Clarke said there are two reasons why you fail to anticipate the future: failure of nerve and failure of imagination. The most common is failure of nerve. Despite all the facts, we cannot see the inescapable conclusion. It’s not that we cannot imagine it as a possibility, but that you fail to risk being wrong. We would rather fail to accept a thought that could be vilified for the future than risk the prediction being overblown or embarrassing in retrospect. Forecasting the future requires bold predictions. You’ll naturally bring skeptics.